Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Mexico United travel to face Birmingham Legion on Thursday 17 September in the USL Championship, with Protective Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; New Mexico United are 1st (leading the league) with 52. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Birmingham Legion, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Charleston Battery, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
New Mexico United, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Indy Eleven, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New Mexico United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Birmingham Legion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.4 xG, New Mexico United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 41%, draw 23%, New Mexico United 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham Legion41%fair 2.46 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
New Mexico United37%fair 2.71 · @2.62
2.68Expected goals
1.38Birmingham Legion xG
1.30New Mexico United xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.4 – 1.3 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
41%
2.46
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.44
Draw no bet
Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
New Mexico United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Birmingham Legion to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Birmingham Legion – last 6
DDLLLW
13 Sep
vs Charleston Battery
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Indy Eleven
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Hartford Athletic
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Sporting JAX
2–3
L
16 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
New Mexico United – last 6
DWLWDW
12 Sep
vs Indy Eleven
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs San Antonio
1–2
L
27 Aug
vs Lexington
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Loudoun United
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs FC Tulsa
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New Mexico United 37%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
