Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rhode Island travel to face Birmingham Legion on Monday 3 August in the USL Championship, with Protective Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Rhode Island are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Birmingham Legion, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Louisville City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Rhode Island, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rhode Island, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Birmingham Legion.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Rhode Island 1–3 Birmingham Legion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.2 xG, Rhode Island 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 30%, draw 26%, Rhode Island 45%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Rhode Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham Legion30%fair 3.38 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.35
Rhode Island45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
2.60Expected goals
1.17Birmingham Legion xG
1.43Rhode Island xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.2 – 1.4 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Birmingham Legion
Rhode Island
Attack vs USL Championship average
-2%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.32
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rhode Island 45%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island?
Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
