Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.94
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Thursday 27 August: El Paso Locomotive v Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship, played at Southwest University Park. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th (upper half) with 45.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colorado Springs, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brooklyn, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.3 xG, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 42%, draw 23%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Pittsburgh Riverhounds35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.30El Paso Locomotive xG
1.14Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.3 – 1.1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Pittsburgh Riverhounds +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WWWWLW
23 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Antonio
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Orange County SC
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Sporting JAX
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WWDWLL
23 Aug
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Charleston Battery
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Sacramento Republic
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Oakland Roots
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs FC Tulsa
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Rhode Island
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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