Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗44% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship, played at Highmark Stadium. In the table, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to El Paso Locomotive, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Detroit City, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.1 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%, draw 23%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pittsburgh Riverhounds33%fair 3.03 · @2.80

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00

Tampa Bay Rowdies44%fair 2.28 · @2.30

2.47Expected goals

1.12Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG

1.35Tampa Bay Rowdies xG

57%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–09%

1–29%

0–08%

0–28%

From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.1 – 1.3 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗	44%	2.28	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.80
Draw no bet	Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Pittsburgh Riverhounds +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.42	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	–
First team to score	Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first ✗	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗	24%	4.10	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.60	–

Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6

LWWDWL

27 Aug	@ El Paso Locomotive	1–2	L
23 Aug	@ Brooklyn	1–0	W
16 Aug	vs Charleston Battery	3–1	W
9 Aug	vs Sacramento Republic	0–0	D
2 Aug	@ Oakland Roots	1–0	W
30 Jul	vs FC Tulsa	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6

LWDWWW

23 Aug	@ Detroit City	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs Rhode Island	2–0	W
13 Aug	vs Louisville City	0–0	D
9 Aug	@ Orange County SC	3–0	W
2 Aug	vs Louisville City	5–4	W
26 Jul	@ Miami FC	3–2	W

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

USL Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	18	7	5	+26	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	16	5	9	+21	53
3	Detroit City	30	14	9	7	+13	51
4	Louisville City	30	13	8	9	+8	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	13	6	11	+3	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	10	13	7	+2	43
7	Rhode Island	30	12	6	12	+9	42
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	-10	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	9	7	14	-6	34
10	Loudoun United	30	6	13	11	-10	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	6	12	12	-6	30
12	Brooklyn	30	5	6	19	-29	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	3	5	22	-46	14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.

How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Tampa Bay Rowdies: numbers & prediction