New Mexico United 47%Draw 20%Indy Eleven 33%Expected goals 1.39 – 1.09
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Mexico United welcome Indy Eleven to Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park for a USL Championship fixture on Saturday 12 September (02:30 WAT). In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Las Vegas Lights, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Indy Eleven, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Birmingham Legion, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New Mexico United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Indy Eleven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.4 xG, Indy Eleven 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 47%, draw 20%, Indy Eleven 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–1 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Indy Eleven33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
2.48Expected goals
1.39New Mexico United xG
1.09Indy Eleven xG
60%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.4 – 1.1 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Mexico United to win✗
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.44
Draw no bet
New Mexico United (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Indy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
New Mexico United to score first✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
New Mexico United – last 6
WLWDWW
6 Sep
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs San Antonio
1–2
L
27 Aug
vs Lexington
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Loudoun United
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs FC Tulsa
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Monterey Bay
5–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 6
DLWWDL
6 Sep
vs Birmingham Legion
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Mexico United and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Indy Eleven 33%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven?
New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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