Sacramento Republic 59%Draw 26%San Antonio 15%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.67
85%
Betarazi pick
Sacramento Republic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sacramento Republic to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 21 September the USL Championship brings Sacramento Republic against San Antonio at Heart Health Park. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; San Antonio are 6th (upper half) with 45.
Current form
Sacramento Republic, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Detroit City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Antonio, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Colorado Springs, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sacramento Republic, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for San Antonio.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended San Antonio 2–1 Sacramento Republic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sacramento Republic 1.6 xG, San Antonio 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sacramento Republic 59%, draw 26%, San Antonio 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sacramento Republic or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Sacramento Republic to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sacramento Republic or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacramento Republic 1–0 San Antonio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sacramento Republic59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
San Antonio15%fair 6.89 · @4.00
2.28Expected goals
1.61Sacramento Republic xG
0.67San Antonio xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.6 – 0.7 San Antonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
Our pick is Sacramento Republic or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Antonio 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–0 San Antonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio?
Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio (USL Championship) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
