Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultLexington to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Lexington vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tulsa travel to face Lexington on Saturday 10 October in the USL Championship, with Toyota Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Lexington are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
Lexington, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over El Paso Locomotive, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
FC Tulsa, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sacramento Republic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for FC Tulsa.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended FC Tulsa 0–0 Lexington.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 1.8 xG, FC Tulsa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 64%, draw 22%, FC Tulsa 14%.
Lower-risk option: Lexington or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lexington to win (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 1–0 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lexington64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
FC Tulsa14%fair 7.14 · @4.50
2.57Expected goals
1.85Lexington xG
0.72FC Tulsa xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.8 – 0.7 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lexington to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lexington vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers Lexington have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Tulsa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–0 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs FC Tulsa?
Lexington vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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