Greenville Triumph v Spokane Velocity Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✗45% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94

Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Greenville Triumph v Spokane Velocity in the USL League One, played at Paladin Stadium. In the table, Greenville Triumph are 15th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 32 matches; Spokane Velocity are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Greenville Triumph, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Alta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Spokane Velocity, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over One Knoxville, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Spokane Velocity, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Greenville Triumph.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Spokane Velocity 2–1 Greenville Triumph.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Greenville Triumph 1.3 xG, Spokane Velocity 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Greenville Triumph 32%, draw 23%, Spokane Velocity 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Spokane Velocity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Greenville Triumph32%fair 3.11 · @2.62

Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10

Spokane Velocity45%fair 2.21 · @2.30

2.89Expected goals

1.30Greenville Triumph xG

1.59Spokane Velocity xG

63%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–19%

2–17%

1–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.3 – 1.6 Spokane Velocity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Spokane Velocity to win ✗	45%	2.21	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.57
Draw no bet	Spokane Velocity (draw no bet) ✗	58%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	Greenville Triumph +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	83%	1.20	–
First team to score	Spokane Velocity to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity ✗	26%	3.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.94	–

Greenville Triumph – last 6

DLLLLL

11 Oct	@ Alta	2–2	D
3 Oct	@ Boise	0–1	L
27 Sep	vs Union Omaha	1–3	L
20 Sep	@ Sarasota Paradise	0–6	L
16 Sep	vs Corpus Christi	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs Fort Wayne	1–3	L

0.7Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Spokane Velocity – last 6

WDWWDL

11 Oct	@ One Knoxville	2–0	W
4 Oct	vs Portland Hearts of Pine	3–3	D
1 Oct	@ Chattanooga Red Wolves	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Forward Madison	1–0	W
21 Sep	vs Boise	2–2	D
16 Sep	@ Union Omaha	1–3	L

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

USL League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	+28	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	+20	62
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	+10	58
4	Forward Madison	32	16	8	8	+24	56
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	+6	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	+6	47
8	Naples	32	14	4	14	-7	46
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	+5	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	+4	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	-2	40
12	Corpus Christi	32	9	10	13	-15	37
13	Alta	32	8	10	14	-8	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	-10	34
15	Greenville Triumph	32	8	6	18	-23	30
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	-28	26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?

On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spokane Velocity 45%.

How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?

Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Spokane Velocity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?

Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Greenville Triumph v Spokane Velocity: numbers & prediction