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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarasota Paradise v Corpus Christi: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · Premier Sports Campus
Sarasota Paradise 49%Draw 24%Corpus Christi 28% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.11
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSarasota Paradise to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.32

Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sarasota Paradise welcome Corpus Christi to Premier Sports Campus for a USL League One fixture on Wednesday 22 April (23:30 WAT). In the table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Corpus Christi are 12th (lower half) with 37. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Naples, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Corpus Christi, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Westchester SC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarasota Paradise 1.7 xG, Corpus Christi 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarasota Paradise 49%, draw 24%, Corpus Christi 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Corpus Christi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarasota Paradise49%fair 2.05 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Corpus Christi28%fair 3.59 · @3.00
2.83Expected goals
1.72Sarasota Paradise xG
1.11Corpus Christi xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%

From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.7 – 1.1 Corpus Christi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarasota Paradise to win ✓49%2.052.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.65
Draw no betSarasota Paradise (draw no bet) ✓64%1.57–
Asian handicapCorpus Christi +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreSarasota Paradise to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarasota Paradise / FT Sarasota Paradise ✓32%3.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.32–

Recent results

Sarasota Paradise – last 6

LLLWDL
12 Apr@ Naples0–2L
9 Apr@ Westchester SC0–2L
5 Aprvs One Knoxville1–2L
29 Marvs Portland Hearts of Pine1–0W
15 Marvs Fort Wayne2–2D
8 Marvs Boise0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Corpus Christi – last 3

LDD
5 Apr@ Westchester SC1–5L
25 Mar@ One Knoxville0–0D
15 Mar@ Naples2–2D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Corpus Christi.

Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?

On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Corpus Christi 28%.

How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?

Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Corpus Christi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?

Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi (USL League One) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.