Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✓53% · @1.70
Double chanceSpokane Velocity or draw ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 25 May the USL League One brings Spokane Velocity against Sarasota Paradise at One Spokane Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Spokane Velocity are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spokane Velocity, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Las Vegas Lights, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Alta, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Spokane Velocity, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Sarasota Paradise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spokane Velocity 1.8 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spokane Velocity 53%, draw 24%, Sarasota Paradise 22%.
Lower-risk option: Spokane Velocity or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spokane Velocity 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spokane Velocity53%fair 1.87 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.55
Sarasota Paradise22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
2.97Expected goals
1.78Spokane Velocity xG
1.19Sarasota Paradise xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.8 – 1.2 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spokane Velocity to win✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Double chance
Spokane Velocity or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Spokane Velocity (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Sarasota Paradise +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Spokane Velocity to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Spokane Velocity – last 6
WDLWWD
18 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–0
W
3 May
@ Corpus Christi
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Sacramento Republic
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Richmond Kickers
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Alta
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Boise
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LLLLWL
17 May
vs Alta
1–2
L
14 May
vs Sporting JAX
0–2
L
3 May
vs Forward Madison
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Corpus Christi
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Naples
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spokane Velocity and Sarasota Paradise.
What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarasota Paradise 22%.
How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise?
Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
