Boise vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Thursday 28 May: Boise v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One. In the table, Boise are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Boise, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fort Wayne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spokane Velocity, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Boise, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Sarasota Paradise.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Sarasota Paradise 0–1 Boise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boise 1.8 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boise 55%, draw 23%, Sarasota Paradise 22%.
Lower-risk option: Boise or draw (78%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boise 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boise55%fair 1.80 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Sarasota Paradise22%fair 4.64 · @4.50
2.86Expected goals
1.79Boise xG
1.07Sarasota Paradise xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Boise 1.8 – 1.1 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Boise have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarasota Paradise 22%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Boise 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
Boise vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
