One Knoxville 57%Draw 24%Greenville Triumph 19%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.92
81%
Betarazi pick
One Knoxville or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: One Knoxville to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceOne Knoxville or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Greenville Triumph travel to face One Knoxville on Friday 29 May in the USL League One, with Regal Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, One Knoxville are 6th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
One Knoxville, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Corpus Christi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Greenville Triumph, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portland Hearts of Pine, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours One Knoxville, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Greenville Triumph.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give One Knoxville 1.8 xG, Greenville Triumph 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – One Knoxville 57%, draw 24%, Greenville Triumph 19%.
Lower-risk option: One Knoxville or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: One Knoxville to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was One Knoxville or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: One Knoxville 1–0 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
One Knoxville57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.20
Greenville Triumph19%fair 5.33 · @3.55
2.73Expected goals
1.81One Knoxville xG
0.92Greenville Triumph xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.8 – 0.9 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
One Knoxville or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
One Knoxville (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Greenville Triumph +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
One Knoxville to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
One Knoxville ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
One Knoxville – last 6
DLLWLW
24 May
@ Corpus Christi
2–2
D
17 May
vs San Antonio
0–1
L
14 May
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
3 May
@ Naples
3–0
W
30 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
DLLLLW
23 May
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–1
D
10 May
vs Richmond Kickers
0–3
L
3 May
@ Union Omaha
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Naples
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs Westchester SC
4–2
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between One Knoxville and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is One Knoxville or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Greenville Triumph 19%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–0 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
