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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alta v Sarasota Paradise: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · Lancaster Municipal Stadium

Alta

WDLWW
3–1
FT
Alta 42%Draw 24%Sarasota Paradise 34% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.40
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlta to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Alta vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

04:00 WAT, Thursday 11 June: Alta v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at Lancaster Municipal Stadium. In the table, Alta are 13th, lower half, on 34 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40.

Current form

Alta, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orange County SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sarasota Paradise, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Naples, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Alta, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Sarasota Paradise.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Sarasota Paradise 1–2 Alta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alta 1.5 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alta 42%, draw 24%, Sarasota Paradise 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alta 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alta42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Sarasota Paradise34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
2.86Expected goals
1.45Alta xG
1.40Sarasota Paradise xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Alta 1.5 – 1.4 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlta to win ✓42%2.382.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.57
Draw no betAlta (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapSarasota Paradise +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreAlta to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alta / FT Alta ✓23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

Alta – last 6

WDLWWW
7 Junvs Orange County SC2–1W
31 May@ Fort Wayne0–0D
28 May@ El Paso Locomotive0–2L
24 Mayvs NY Cosmos4–0W
17 May@ Sarasota Paradise2–1W
10 Mayvs Forward Madison2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sarasota Paradise – last 6

WWWLLL
7 Jun@ Naples2–0W
31 Mayvs NY Cosmos2–1W
28 May@ Boise2–0W
25 May@ Spokane Velocity0–1L
17 Mayvs Alta1–2L
14 Mayvs Sporting JAX0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Sarasota Paradise v Alta1–2
Alta vs Sarasota Paradise head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?

On our numbers Alta have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarasota Paradise 34%.

How many goals will there be in Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?

Our predicted score is Alta 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?

Alta vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.