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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spokane Velocity v One Knoxville: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · One Spokane Stadium
0–4
FT
Spokane Velocity 40%Draw 26%One Knoxville 33% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.21
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spokane Velocity welcome One Knoxville to One Spokane Stadium for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 21 June (02:00 WAT). In the table, Spokane Velocity are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; One Knoxville are 6th (upper half) with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Spokane Velocity, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

One Knoxville, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over NY Cosmos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spokane Velocity 1.4 xG, One Knoxville 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spokane Velocity 40%, draw 26%, One Knoxville 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spokane Velocity 1–1 One Knoxville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spokane Velocity40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
One Knoxville33%fair 2.99 · @3.10
2.59Expected goals
1.38Spokane Velocity xG
1.21One Knoxville xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.4 – 1.2 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpokane Velocity to win ✗40%2.482.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.85 ▲
Draw no betSpokane Velocity (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapOne Knoxville +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSpokane Velocity to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Spokane Velocity – last 6

LWLWWD
14 Jun@ Alta0–1L
7 Junvs Boise2–1W
30 May@ Portland Hearts of Pine1–2L
25 Mayvs Sarasota Paradise1–0W
18 Mayvs Las Vegas Lights1–0W
3 May@ Corpus Christi0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

One Knoxville – last 6

WDWDLL
14 Junvs NY Cosmos3–1W
11 Junvs Chattanooga Red Wolves1–1D
29 Mayvs Greenville Triumph2–0W
24 May@ Corpus Christi2–2D
17 Mayvs San Antonio0–1L
14 Mayvs Union Omaha1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spokane Velocity and One Knoxville.

Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?

On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and One Knoxville 33%.

How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?

Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?

Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.