NY Cosmos 39%Draw 24%Greenville Triumph 37%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.49
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: NY Cosmos to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNY Cosmos to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 July the USL League One brings NY Cosmos against Greenville Triumph at Hinchliffe Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, NY Cosmos are 16th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NY Cosmos, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos Laguna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Greenville Triumph, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charlotte Independence, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Greenville Triumph, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for NY Cosmos.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended Greenville Triumph 3–2 NY Cosmos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NY Cosmos 1.7 xG, Greenville Triumph 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NY Cosmos 39%, draw 24%, Greenville Triumph 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: NY Cosmos to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: NY Cosmos 1–1 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NY Cosmos39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Greenville Triumph37%fair 2.71 · @2.25
3.15Expected goals
1.66NY Cosmos xG
1.49Greenville Triumph xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: NY Cosmos 1.7 – 1.5 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers NY Cosmos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Greenville Triumph 37%.
How many goals will there be in NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is NY Cosmos 1–1 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph?
NY Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hinchliffe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
