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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Forward Madison v Richmond Kickers: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · Breese Stevens Field
4–0
FT
Forward Madison 65%Draw 20%Richmond Kickers 15% Expected goals 2.07 – 0.83
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultForward Madison to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceForward Madison or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Forward Madison welcome Richmond Kickers to Breese Stevens Field for a USL League One fixture on Thursday 16 July (01:00 WAT). In the table, Forward Madison are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Richmond Kickers are 17th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Forward Madison, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Union Omaha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Richmond Kickers, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Greenville Triumph, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Richmond Kickers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Forward Madison 2.1 xG, Richmond Kickers 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Forward Madison 65%, draw 20%, Richmond Kickers 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forward Madison 2–0 Richmond Kickers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Forward Madison65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.20
Richmond Kickers15%fair 6.83 · @6.25
2.90Expected goals
2.07Forward Madison xG
0.83Richmond Kickers xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Forward Madison 2.1 – 0.8 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultForward Madison to win ✓65%1.531.44
Double chanceForward Madison or draw ✓85%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.73
Draw no betForward Madison (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapForward Madison -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreForward Madison to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultForward Madison ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Forward Madison – last 6

WWWDWL
12 Julvs Union Omaha4–3W
2 Jul@ Spokane Velocity1–0W
21 Junvs NY Cosmos3–1W
18 Junvs Fort Wayne1–1D
14 Junvs Boise5–1W
7 Jun@ Indy Eleven0–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Richmond Kickers – last 6

WDLLLL
12 Jul@ Greenville Triumph2–1W
4 Julvs Sarasota Paradise0–0D
25 Jun@ Portland Hearts of Pine1–5L
21 Junvs Fort Wayne0–2L
14 Jun@ Corpus Christi0–1L
11 Jun@ Boise1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Forward Madison and Richmond Kickers.

Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

On our numbers Forward Madison have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Richmond Kickers 15%.

How many goals will there be in Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

Our predicted score is Forward Madison 2–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Breese Stevens Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.