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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spokane Velocity v Charlotte Independence: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · One Spokane Stadium
Spokane Velocity 37%Draw 23%Charlotte Independence 40% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.68
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 23 July the USL League One brings Spokane Velocity against Charlotte Independence at One Spokane Stadium. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Spokane Velocity are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Charlotte Independence are 1st (leading the league) with 66. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Spokane Velocity, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Richmond Kickers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Charlotte Independence, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Chattanooga Red Wolves, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Charlotte Independence 4–0 Spokane Velocity.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spokane Velocity 1.6 xG, Charlotte Independence 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spokane Velocity 37%, draw 23%, Charlotte Independence 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spokane Velocity 1–1 Charlotte Independence. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spokane Velocity37%fair 2.71 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.45
Charlotte Independence40%fair 2.51 · @2.55
3.30Expected goals
1.61Spokane Velocity xG
1.68Charlotte Independence xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.6 – 1.7 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharlotte Independence to win ✗40%2.512.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.55
Draw no betCharlotte Independence (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapSpokane Velocity +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreCharlotte Independence to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Spokane Velocity – last 6

WWLLWL
19 Jul@ Richmond Kickers2–0W
11 Jul@ Oakland Roots3–1W
5 Jul@ Fort Wayne0–3L
2 Julvs Forward Madison0–1L
25 Junvs Westchester SC2–1W
21 Junvs One Knoxville0–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Charlotte Independence – last 6

LDDWWW
19 Julvs Chattanooga Red Wolves2–4L
12 Jul@ Charleston Battery2–2D
6 Jul@ Alta1–1D
1 Julvs Corpus Christi2–1W
25 Junvs Greenville Triumph1–0W
14 Junvs Naples4–3W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026Charlotte Independence v Spokane Velocity4–0
Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Charlotte Independence 40%.

How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.