Charlotte Independence 42%Draw 24%One Knoxville 34%Expected goals 1.79 – 1.45
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the USL League One brings Charlotte Independence against One Knoxville at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Charlotte Independence are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 32 matches; One Knoxville are 6th (upper half) with 54. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Richmond Kickers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
One Knoxville, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chattanooga Red Wolves, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended One Knoxville 2–1 Charlotte Independence.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 1.8 xG, One Knoxville 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 42%, draw 24%, One Knoxville 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 1–1 One Knoxville. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte Independence42%fair 2.41 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
One Knoxville34%fair 2.93 · @2.55
3.24Expected goals
1.79Charlotte Independence xG
1.45One Knoxville xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 1.8 – 1.4 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
42%
2.41
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.48
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
One Knoxville +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and One Knoxville 34%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
