NY Cosmos 24%Draw 17%Spokane Velocity 59%Expected goals 1.13 – 1.95
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Spokane Velocity to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 22 October the USL League One brings NY Cosmos against Spokane Velocity at Hinchliffe Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, NY Cosmos are 16th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 32 matches; Spokane Velocity are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NY Cosmos, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to One Knoxville, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Spokane Velocity, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chattanooga Red Wolves, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spokane Velocity, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for NY Cosmos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NY Cosmos 1.1 xG, Spokane Velocity 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NY Cosmos 24%, draw 17%, Spokane Velocity 59%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Spokane Velocity to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: NY Cosmos 1–1 Spokane Velocity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NY Cosmos24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @3.25
Spokane Velocity59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
3.08Expected goals
1.13NY Cosmos xG
1.95Spokane Velocity xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: NY Cosmos 1.1 – 2.0 Spokane Velocity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spokane Velocity to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Spokane Velocity (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
NY Cosmos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Spokane Velocity to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Spokane Velocity ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
NY Cosmos – last 6
LLLWLL
17 Oct
vs One Knoxville
0–3
L
11 Oct
@ Charlotte Independence
0–3
L
4 Oct
@ Naples
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Richmond Kickers
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Westchester SC
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Boise
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Spokane Velocity – last 6
WLWDWW
18 Oct
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Greenville Triumph
3–4
L
11 Oct
@ One Knoxville
2–0
W
4 Oct
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3–3
D
1 Oct
@ Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Forward Madison
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NY Cosmos and Spokane Velocity.
What is the prediction for NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
On our numbers NY Cosmos have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Spokane Velocity 59%.
How many goals will there be in NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
Our predicted score is NY Cosmos 1–1 Spokane Velocity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity?
NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hinchliffe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
