One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 9 August: One Knoxville v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at Regal Stadium. In the table, One Knoxville are 6th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
One Knoxville, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Charlotte Independence, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Miami FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Sarasota Paradise 1–2 One Knoxville.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give One Knoxville 1.7 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – One Knoxville 54%, draw 23%, Sarasota Paradise 22%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: One Knoxville 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
One Knoxville54%fair 1.84 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.80
Sarasota Paradise22%fair 4.47 · @4.75
2.84Expected goals
1.72One Knoxville xG
1.12Sarasota Paradise xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.7 – 1.1 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarasota Paradise 22%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
