Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Thursday 13 August: Forward Madison v Greenville Triumph in the USL League One, played at Breese Stevens Field. In the table, Forward Madison are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Forward Madison, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Boise, away. In their own stadium the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Greenville Triumph, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charlotte Independence, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Greenville Triumph.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jun 2026) it ended Greenville Triumph 1–0 Forward Madison.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forward Madison 2.1 xG, Greenville Triumph 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forward Madison 68%, draw 21%, Greenville Triumph 11%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forward Madison 2–0 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forward Madison68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.75
Greenville Triumph11%fair 8.96 · @5.60
2.92Expected goals
2.15Forward Madison xG
0.77Greenville Triumph xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Forward Madison 2.1 – 0.8 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Forward Madison have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Greenville Triumph 11%.
How many goals will there be in Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Forward Madison 2–0 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Breese Stevens Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
