Value bet: Chattanooga Red Wolves to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChattanooga Red Wolves to win ✗42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Sarasota Paradise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarasota Paradise welcome Chattanooga Red Wolves to Premier Sports Campus for a USL League One fixture on Thursday 20 August (00:30 WAT). In the table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Chattanooga Red Wolves are 7th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Charlotte Independence, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Chattanooga Red Wolves, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fort Wayne, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chattanooga Red Wolves, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Sarasota Paradise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarasota Paradise 1.4 xG, Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarasota Paradise 36%, draw 21%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Chattanooga Red Wolves to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarasota Paradise36%fair 2.75 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Chattanooga Red Wolves42%fair 2.37 · @2.80
2.83Expected goals
1.35Sarasota Paradise xG
1.48Chattanooga Red Wolves xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.4 – 1.5 Chattanooga Red Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chattanooga Red Wolves to win✗
42%
2.37
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Draw no bet
Chattanooga Red Wolves (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Sarasota Paradise +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Chattanooga Red Wolves to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chattanooga Red Wolves / FT Chattanooga Red Wolves✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LLLDDL
16 Aug
@ Charlotte Independence
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ One Knoxville
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Miami FC
0–5
L
9 Jul
@ Greenville Triumph
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ Richmond Kickers
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chattanooga Red Wolves – last 6
WLLWWW
16 Aug
@ Fort Wayne
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Union Omaha
1–3
L
30 Jul
@ Forward Madison
2–5
L
26 Jul
vs One Knoxville
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Charlotte Independence
4–2
W
16 Jul
vs Alta
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Chattanooga Red Wolves.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chattanooga Red Wolves 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Sarasota Paradise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
