Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Spokane Velocity to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceSpokane Velocity or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.24
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spokane Velocity welcome Greenville Triumph to One Spokane Stadium for a USL League One fixture on Sunday 23 August (02:30 WAT). In the table, Spokane Velocity are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Greenville Triumph are 15th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spokane Velocity, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Corpus Christi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Greenville Triumph, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with One Knoxville, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spokane Velocity, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Greenville Triumph.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spokane Velocity 1.9 xG, Greenville Triumph 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spokane Velocity 63%, draw 21%, Greenville Triumph 15%.
Lower-risk option: Spokane Velocity or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Spokane Velocity to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spokane Velocity or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spokane Velocity 1–0 Greenville Triumph. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spokane Velocity63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Greenville Triumph15%fair 6.49 · @3.60
2.74Expected goals
1.92Spokane Velocity xG
0.82Greenville Triumph xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.9 – 0.8 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spokane Velocity to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Spokane Velocity or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.60
Draw no bet
Spokane Velocity (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Spokane Velocity -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Spokane Velocity to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Spokane Velocity ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Spokane Velocity – last 6
LDWWWW
16 Aug
vs Corpus Christi
2–3
L
13 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
23 Jul
vs Charlotte Independence
3–0
W
19 Jul
@ Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Oakland Roots
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
DDLDWL
16 Aug
vs One Knoxville
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ Forward Madison
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Boise
3–2
W
26 Jul
@ Corpus Christi
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spokane Velocity and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Spokane Velocity or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Greenville Triumph 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–0 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
