Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Union Omaha to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Omaha to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion Omaha or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Naples vs Union Omaha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 27 August the USL League One brings Naples against Union Omaha at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Naples are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; Union Omaha are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naples, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alta, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Union Omaha, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sarasota Paradise, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Union Omaha, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Naples.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Union Omaha 2–1 Naples.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naples 0.9 xG, Union Omaha 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naples 18%, draw 19%, Union Omaha 62%.
Lower-risk option: Union Omaha or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Union Omaha to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Omaha or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naples 0–1 Union Omaha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naples18%fair 5.49 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
Union Omaha62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
2.92Expected goals
0.94Naples xG
1.98Union Omaha xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Naples 0.9 – 2.0 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Union Omaha or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naples vs Union Omaha?
On our numbers Naples have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Union Omaha 62%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Union Omaha?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Union Omaha?
Our predicted score is Naples 0–1 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Union Omaha?
Naples vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
