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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NY Cosmos v Sarasota Paradise: numbers & prediction

USL League One · USA · Hinchliffe Stadium
1–2
FT
NY Cosmos 45%Draw 21%Sarasota Paradise 34% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.35
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultNY Cosmos to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11

NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Thursday 3 September: NY Cosmos v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at Hinchliffe Stadium. In the table, NY Cosmos are 16th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

NY Cosmos, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Omaha, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Sarasota Paradise, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Omaha, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Sarasota Paradise 2–1 NY Cosmos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NY Cosmos 1.6 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NY Cosmos 45%, draw 21%, Sarasota Paradise 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: NY Cosmos 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NY Cosmos45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Sarasota Paradise34%fair 2.91 · @2.90
2.93Expected goals
1.58NY Cosmos xG
1.35Sarasota Paradise xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: NY Cosmos 1.6 – 1.3 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNY Cosmos to win ✗45%2.242.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.50
Draw no betNY Cosmos (draw no bet) ✗57%1.77–
Asian handicapSarasota Paradise +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreNY Cosmos to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT NY Cosmos / FT NY Cosmos ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.11–

Recent results

NY Cosmos – last 6

DDWWLL
30 Aug@ Union Omaha1–1D
23 Aug@ Chattanooga Red Wolves3–3D
20 Aug@ Corpus Christi2–0W
16 Augvs Alta1–0W
6 Aug@ Richmond Kickers0–2L
26 Julvs Boise1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sarasota Paradise – last 6

DWLLLD
23 Aug@ Union Omaha1–1D
20 Augvs Chattanooga Red Wolves3–2W
16 Aug@ Charlotte Independence1–3L
9 Aug@ One Knoxville1–2L
12 Julvs Miami FC0–5L
9 Jul@ Greenville Triumph0–0D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Sarasota Paradise v NY Cosmos2–1
NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

On our numbers NY Cosmos have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarasota Paradise 34%.

How many goals will there be in NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

Our predicted score is NY Cosmos 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hinchliffe Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.