NY Cosmos 45%Draw 21%Sarasota Paradise 34%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.35
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNY Cosmos to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Thursday 3 September: NY Cosmos v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at Hinchliffe Stadium. In the table, NY Cosmos are 16th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NY Cosmos, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Omaha, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Omaha, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Sarasota Paradise 2–1 NY Cosmos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NY Cosmos 1.6 xG, Sarasota Paradise 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NY Cosmos 45%, draw 21%, Sarasota Paradise 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: NY Cosmos 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NY Cosmos45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Sarasota Paradise34%fair 2.91 · @2.90
2.93Expected goals
1.58NY Cosmos xG
1.35Sarasota Paradise xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: NY Cosmos 1.6 – 1.3 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers NY Cosmos have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarasota Paradise 34%.
How many goals will there be in NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is NY Cosmos 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hinchliffe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.