Union Omaha 63%Draw 20%Charlotte Independence 17%Expected goals 2.21 – 1.07
83%
Betarazi pick
Union Omaha or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Union Omaha to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Omaha to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion Omaha or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the USL League One brings Union Omaha against Charlotte Independence at Werner Park. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Union Omaha are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 32 matches; Charlotte Independence are 1st (leading the league) with 66.
Current form
Union Omaha, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with NY Cosmos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Portland Hearts of Pine, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jun 2026) it ended Charlotte Independence 2–0 Union Omaha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Omaha 2.2 xG, Charlotte Independence 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Omaha 63%, draw 20%, Charlotte Independence 17%.
Lower-risk option: Union Omaha or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Union Omaha to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Omaha or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Omaha 2–1 Charlotte Independence. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Omaha63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
Charlotte Independence17%fair 5.83 · @3.60
3.28Expected goals
2.21Union Omaha xG
1.07Charlotte Independence xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 2.2 – 1.1 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Union Omaha or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Charlotte Independence 17%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 2–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
