Forward Madison 62%Draw 21%Sarasota Paradise 16%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.86
62%
Betarazi pick
Forward Madison to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultForward Madison to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceForward Madison or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Forward Madison v Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One, played at Breese Stevens Field. In the table, Forward Madison are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Sarasota Paradise are 11th (lower half) with 40. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Forward Madison, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Corpus Christi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sarasota Paradise, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spokane Velocity, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Forward Madison, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Sarasota Paradise.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Sarasota Paradise 1–3 Forward Madison.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forward Madison 1.9 xG, Sarasota Paradise 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forward Madison 62%, draw 21%, Sarasota Paradise 16%.
Lower-risk option: Forward Madison or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Forward Madison to win (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forward Madison 1–0 Sarasota Paradise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forward Madison62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Sarasota Paradise16%fair 6.22 · @4.20
2.79Expected goals
1.93Forward Madison xG
0.86Sarasota Paradise xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Forward Madison 1.9 – 0.9 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Forward Madison to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Forward Madison have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarasota Paradise 16%.
How many goals will there be in Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Forward Madison 1–0 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Breese Stevens Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
