Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Boise to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoise to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Boise vs Charlotte Independence: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Boise v Charlotte Independence in the USL League One. In the table, Boise are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 32 matches; Charlotte Independence are 1st (leading the league) with 66.
Current form
Boise, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NY Cosmos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 5–4 win over Westchester SC, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Boise, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Charlotte Independence.
Head to head
When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Charlotte Independence 1–0 Boise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boise 2.2 xG, Charlotte Independence 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boise 60%, draw 17%, Charlotte Independence 23%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Boise to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boise 2–1 Charlotte Independence. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boise60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @3.40
Charlotte Independence23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
3.42Expected goals
2.17Boise xG
1.25Charlotte Independence xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Boise 2.2 – 1.3 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Boise have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Charlotte Independence 23%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Boise 2–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Boise vs Charlotte Independence?
Boise vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
