Fort Wayne 57%Draw 23%Naples 19%Expected goals 1.83 – 0.97
81%
Betarazi pick
Fort Wayne or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFort Wayne to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceFort Wayne or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Fort Wayne vs Naples: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Fort Wayne v Naples in the USL League One, played at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium. In the table, Fort Wayne are 9th, upper half, on 45 points after 32 matches; Naples are 8th (upper half) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fort Wayne, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to One Knoxville, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Naples, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with One Knoxville, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Naples 2–0 Fort Wayne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fort Wayne 1.8 xG, Naples 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fort Wayne 57%, draw 23%, Naples 19%.
Lower-risk option: Fort Wayne or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fort Wayne or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fort Wayne 1–0 Naples. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fort Wayne57%fair 1.74 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Naples19%fair 5.19 · @3.80
2.80Expected goals
1.83Fort Wayne xG
0.97Naples xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Fort Wayne 1.8 – 1.0 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fort Wayne or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fort Wayne vs Naples?
On our numbers Fort Wayne have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Naples 19%.
How many goals will there be in Fort Wayne vs Naples?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fort Wayne vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Fort Wayne 1–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fort Wayne vs Naples?
Fort Wayne vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
