Spokane Velocity v Boise Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSpokane Velocity to win ✗40% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Spokane Velocity vs Boise: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Monday 21 September: Spokane Velocity v Boise in the USL League One, played at One Spokane Stadium. In the table, Spokane Velocity are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 32 matches; Boise are 3rd (among the top four) with 58.

Current form

Spokane Velocity, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Union Omaha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Boise, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Charlotte Independence, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Boise, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Spokane Velocity.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Spokane Velocity 2–1 Boise. The last 2 head-to-heads: Spokane Velocity 1 win, Boise 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spokane Velocity 1.5 xG, Boise 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Spokane Velocity 40%, draw 23%, Boise 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spokane Velocity 1–1 Boise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spokane Velocity40%fair 2.49 · @2.40

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00

Boise37%fair 2.73 · @2.62

2.88Expected goals

1.48Spokane Velocity xG

1.40Boise xG

62%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–08%

1–28%

0–18%

2–06%

From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.5 – 1.4 Boise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Spokane Velocity to win ✗	40%	2.49	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.62
Draw no bet	Spokane Velocity (draw no bet)	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Boise +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.82	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	–
First team to score	Spokane Velocity to score first ✗	49%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Spokane Velocity / FT Spokane Velocity ✗	23%	4.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.62	–

Spokane Velocity – last 6

LDWWLD

16 Sep	@ Union Omaha	1–3	L
6 Sep	@ Sarasota Paradise	1–1	D
30 Aug	@ Westchester SC	3–1	W
23 Aug	vs Greenville Triumph	2–1	W
16 Aug	vs Corpus Christi	2–3	L
13 Aug	vs Colorado Springs	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Boise – last 6

DWWWDW

17 Sep	vs Charlotte Independence	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs NY Cosmos	2–1	W
6 Sep	@ Naples	2–0	W
30 Aug	@ Chattanooga Red Wolves	3–2	W
23 Aug	@ One Knoxville	2–2	D
13 Aug	vs Sporting San Jose	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

USL League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	+28	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	+20	62
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	+10	58
4	Forward Madison	32	16	8	8	+24	56
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	+6	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	+6	47
8	Naples	32	14	4	14	-7	46
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	+5	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	+4	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	-2	40
12	Corpus Christi	32	9	10	13	-15	37
13	Alta	32	8	10	14	-8	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	-10	34
15	Greenville Triumph	32	8	6	18	-23	30
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	-28	26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Boise?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Boise?

On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boise 37%.

How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Boise?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Boise?

Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–1 Boise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Spokane Velocity vs Boise?

Spokane Velocity vs Boise (USL League One) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Spokane Velocity v Boise: numbers & prediction