Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaples to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.57
Naples vs NY Cosmos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Naples v NY Cosmos in the USL League One, played at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. In the table, Naples are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; NY Cosmos are 16th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naples, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chattanooga Red Wolves, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
NY Cosmos, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Richmond Kickers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended NY Cosmos 1–0 Naples.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naples 1.5 xG, NY Cosmos 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naples 42%, draw 21%, NY Cosmos 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naples 1–1 NY Cosmos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naples42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.50
NY Cosmos38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
3.00Expected goals
1.54Naples xG
1.46NY Cosmos xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Naples 1.5 – 1.5 NY Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Naples vs NY Cosmos?
On our numbers Naples have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NY Cosmos 38%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs NY Cosmos?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs NY Cosmos?
Our predicted score is Naples 1–1 NY Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Naples vs NY Cosmos?
Naples vs NY Cosmos (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
