Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaples to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceNaples or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Naples vs Richmond Kickers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 8 October the USL League One brings Naples against Richmond Kickers at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Naples are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 32 matches; Richmond Kickers are 17th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naples, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NY Cosmos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Richmond Kickers, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over One Knoxville, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Naples, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Richmond Kickers.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Richmond Kickers 0–1 Naples.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naples 2.1 xG, Richmond Kickers 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naples 64%, draw 24%, Richmond Kickers 12%.
Lower-risk option: Naples or draw (88%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Naples to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naples 2–0 Richmond Kickers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naples64%fair 1.55 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.80
Richmond Kickers12%fair 8.46 · @4.40
2.93Expected goals
2.10Naples xG
0.83Richmond Kickers xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Naples 2.1 – 0.8 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Naples to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Naples have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Richmond Kickers 12%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Naples 2–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Richmond Kickers?
Naples vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
