Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMalmo FF to win51% · @1.90
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.66
Malmo FF vs Gais: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Malmo FF v Gais in the Allsvenskan, played at Eleda Stadion. In the table, Malmo FF are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Gais are 9th (lower half) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Malmo FF, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orgryte IS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gais, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Djurgardens IF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Malmo FF, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.5 for Gais.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malmo FF 1.3 xG, Gais 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malmo FF 51%, draw 26%, Gais 22%.
Lower-risk option: Malmo FF or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malmo FF or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malmo FF 1–0 Gais. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malmo FF51%fair 1.95 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.55
Gais22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
2.21Expected goals
1.34Malmo FF xG
0.87Gais xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 1.3 – 0.9 Gais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win
51%
1.95
1.90
Double chance
Malmo FF or draw
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.87
1.70
Draw no bet
Malmo FF (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Gais +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
1.12
First team to score
Malmo FF to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Malmo FF – last 5
DWWWW
5 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
26 Mar
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ IF Karlstad
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Gais – last 6
LWLWLW
6 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Mjallby AIF
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Oddevold
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ Sandviken
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malmo FF and Gais.
Our pick is Malmo FF or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malmo FF vs Gais?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gais 22%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs Gais?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs Gais?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 1–0 Gais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs Gais?
Malmo FF vs Gais (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
