Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Allsvenskan brings Degerfors IF against IF Elfsborg at Stora Valla. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Degerfors IF are 14th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 28 matches; IF Elfsborg are 5th (upper half) with 46. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Degerfors IF, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Halmstad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
IF Elfsborg, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over IFK Goteborg, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Degerfors IF 1.1 xG, IF Elfsborg 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Degerfors IF 30%, draw 26%, IF Elfsborg 44%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: IF Elfsborg to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Degerfors IF 1–1 IF Elfsborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Degerfors IF30%fair 3.31 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
IF Elfsborg44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
2.69Expected goals
1.13Degerfors IF xG
1.55IF Elfsborg xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Degerfors IF 1.1 – 1.6 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✓
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
IF Elfsborg (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Degerfors IF +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
IF Elfsborg to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Degerfors IF – last 5
WWLLW
12 Apr
@ Halmstad
3–0
W
27 Mar
vs IFK Norrkoping
3–1
W
14 Mar
vs United Nordic
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ IFK Goteborg
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
IF Elfsborg – last 5
WWLWL
6 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Osters IF
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sirius
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Helsingborg
4–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gais
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Degerfors IF and IF Elfsborg.
What is the prediction for Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Degerfors IF have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and IF Elfsborg 44%.
How many goals will there be in Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Degerfors IF 1–1 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stora Valla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
