Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSirius to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceSirius or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Sirius vs Orgryte IS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 11 May: Sirius v Orgryte IS in the Allsvenskan, played at Studenternas IP. In the table, Sirius are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 28 matches; Orgryte IS are 15th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sirius, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with BK Hacken, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Orgryte IS, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Degerfors IF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sirius, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Orgryte IS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sirius 2.4 xG, Orgryte IS 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sirius 68%, draw 18%, Orgryte IS 14%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sirius 2–1 Orgryte IS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sirius68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @5.60
Orgryte IS14%fair 7.17 · @12.00
3.49Expected goals
2.43Sirius xG
1.07Orgryte IS xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sirius 2.4 – 1.1 Orgryte IS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sirius to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Sirius or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Sirius (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Sirius -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
First team to score
Sirius to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Sirius ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sirius / FT Sirius✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Sirius – last 6
DWWDWW
27 Apr
@ BK Hacken
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Malmo FF
3–2
W
13 Apr
vs Hammarby FF
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ IF Elfsborg
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Helsingborg
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orgryte IS – last 6
DLDWDL
27 Apr
vs Degerfors IF
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs IF Brommapojkarna
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Malmo FF
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Mjallby AIF
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sirius and Orgryte IS.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
On our numbers Sirius have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Orgryte IS 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
Our predicted score is Sirius 2–1 Orgryte IS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sirius vs Orgryte IS?
Sirius vs Orgryte IS (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Studenternas IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
