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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hammarby FF v Malmo FF: numbers & prediction

Allsvenskan · Sweden · 3Arena
4–1
FT
Hammarby FF 60%Draw 24%Malmo FF 17% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.95
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultHammarby FF to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceHammarby FF or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Hammarby FF v Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan, played at 3Arena. In the table, Hammarby FF are 1st, leading the league, on 58 points after 28 matches; Malmo FF are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hammarby FF, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mjallby AIF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Malmo FF, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mjallby AIF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Malmo FF, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Hammarby FF.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hammarby FF 1.9 xG, Malmo FF 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hammarby FF 60%, draw 24%, Malmo FF 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hammarby FF or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hammarby FF 1–1 Malmo FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hammarby FF60%fair 1.68 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.10
Malmo FF17%fair 5.93 · @5.10
2.85Expected goals
1.89Hammarby FF xG
0.95Malmo FF xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Hammarby FF 1.9 – 1.0 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHammarby FF to win ✓60%1.681.57
Double chanceHammarby FF or draw ✓83%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.62
Draw no betHammarby FF (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapMalmo FF +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.231.20
First team to scoreHammarby FF to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultHammarby FF ahead at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hammarby FF / FT Hammarby FF ✓37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Hammarby FF – last 6

LWDDLD
14 May@ Mjallby AIF1–2L
3 Mayvs Vasteras SK FK3–0W
26 Apr@ Djurgardens IF1–1D
22 Aprvs Halmstad1–1D
13 Apr@ Sirius0–2L
29 Marvs Kongsvinger3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Malmo FF – last 6

LWLDWW
3 Mayvs Mjallby AIF2–3L
27 Apr@ AIK Stockholm1–0W
23 Aprvs Sirius2–3L
5 Apr@ Orgryte IS1–1D
26 Marvs Landskrona BoIS1–0W
8 Marvs Halmstad2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hammarby FF and Malmo FF.

Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF head-to-head page →

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby FF281846+3758
2Sirius281846+2358
3Djurgardens IF281648+2952
4BK Hacken2813105+1749
5IF Elfsborg2812106+1146
6Vasteras SK FK281369+245
7Malmo FF2812511+641
8AIK Stockholm281189-341
9Gais2811710+840
10IFK Goteborg281099-1039
11IF Brommapojkarna289811-535
12Mjallby AIF2861012-1328
13Kalmar FF287516-1826
14Degerfors IF285518-2520
15Orgryte IS284816-2720
16Halmstad285518-3220

More Allsvenskan predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?

On our numbers Hammarby FF have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malmo FF 17%.

How many goals will there be in Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?

Our predicted score is Hammarby FF 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?

Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at 3Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.