Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultHammarby FF to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceHammarby FF or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Hammarby FF v Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan, played at 3Arena. In the table, Hammarby FF are 1st, leading the league, on 58 points after 28 matches; Malmo FF are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hammarby FF, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mjallby AIF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Malmo FF, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mjallby AIF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Malmo FF, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Hammarby FF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hammarby FF 1.9 xG, Malmo FF 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hammarby FF 60%, draw 24%, Malmo FF 17%.
Lower-risk option: Hammarby FF or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hammarby FF 1–1 Malmo FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hammarby FF60%fair 1.68 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.10
Malmo FF17%fair 5.93 · @5.10
2.85Expected goals
1.89Hammarby FF xG
0.95Malmo FF xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Hammarby FF 1.9 – 1.0 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hammarby FF to win✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Double chance
Hammarby FF or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Hammarby FF (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Malmo FF +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
Hammarby FF to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Hammarby FF ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hammarby FF / FT Hammarby FF✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Hammarby FF – last 6
LWDDLD
14 May
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
3 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Djurgardens IF
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Halmstad
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ Sirius
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Kongsvinger
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 6
LWLDWW
3 May
vs Mjallby AIF
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ AIK Stockholm
1–0
W
23 Apr
vs Sirius
2–3
L
5 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
26 Mar
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hammarby FF and Malmo FF.
What is the prediction for Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Hammarby FF have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malmo FF 17%.
How many goals will there be in Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Hammarby FF 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF?
Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at 3Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.