Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Degerfors IF welcome Malmo FF to Stora Valla for a Allsvenskan fixture on Saturday 4 July (14:00 WAT). In the table, Degerfors IF are 14th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 28 matches; Malmo FF are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Degerfors IF, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with IF Brommapojkarna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Malmo FF, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Midtjylland, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Degerfors IF 1.2 xG, Malmo FF 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Degerfors IF 28%, draw 25%, Malmo FF 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Degerfors IF 1–1 Malmo FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Degerfors IF28%fair 3.63 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Malmo FF47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
2.84Expected goals
1.15Degerfors IF xG
1.69Malmo FF xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Degerfors IF 1.2 – 1.7 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✓
47%
2.12
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Malmo FF (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Degerfors IF +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Malmo FF to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Degerfors IF – last 6
DLDWLW
31 May
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–2
D
23 May
@ Kalmar FF
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs AIK Stockholm
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs IF Elfsborg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Halmstad
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 6
DWLLLW
26 Jun
vs FC Midtjylland
2–2
D
30 May
vs Halmstad
5–2
W
24 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
2–3
L
17 May
@ Hammarby FF
1–4
L
3 May
vs Mjallby AIF
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ AIK Stockholm
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Degerfors IF and Malmo FF.
What is the prediction for Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Degerfors IF have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Malmo FF 47%.
How many goals will there be in Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Degerfors IF 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF?
Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stora Valla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
