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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IF Elfsborg v Sirius: numbers & prediction

Allsvenskan · Sweden · Borås Arena
1–3
FT

Sirius

WDDWW
IF Elfsborg 30%Draw 23%Sirius 47% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.52
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 3.55 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSirius to win ✓47% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50

IF Elfsborg vs Sirius: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IF Elfsborg welcome Sirius to Borås Arena for a Allsvenskan fixture on Sunday 19 July (15:30 WAT). In the table, IF Elfsborg are 5th, upper half, on 46 points after 28 matches; Sirius are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

IF Elfsborg, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gais, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sirius, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over IF Brommapojkarna, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sirius, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for IF Elfsborg.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended IF Elfsborg 1–2 Sirius.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IF Elfsborg 1.4 xG, Sirius 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IF Elfsborg 30%, draw 23%, Sirius 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: IF Elfsborg to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: IF Elfsborg 1–1 Sirius. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IF Elfsborg30%fair 3.30 · @3.55
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.60
Sirius47%fair 2.14 · @1.95
2.93Expected goals
1.41IF Elfsborg xG
1.52Sirius xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: IF Elfsborg 1.4 – 1.5 Sirius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSirius to win ✓47%2.141.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.53
Draw no betSirius (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapIF Elfsborg +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.531.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.20
First team to scoreSirius to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sirius / FT Sirius ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

IF Elfsborg – last 6

LLDDDW
12 Jul@ Gais0–1L
5 Julvs Hammarby FF1–2L
29 May@ Orgryte IS2–2D
25 Mayvs BK Hacken1–1D
21 Mayvs Mjallby AIF1–1D
8 Mayvs IF Brommapojkarna2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sirius – last 6

WDDWWW
12 Jul@ IF Brommapojkarna2–1W
3 Julvs Mjallby AIF4–4D
26 Junvs Djurgardens IF1–1D
30 May@ AIK Stockholm3–0W
24 Mayvs Gais2–1W
18 May@ Djurgardens IF3–2W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026IF Elfsborg v Sirius1–2
IF Elfsborg vs Sirius head-to-head page →

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby FF281846+3758
2Sirius281846+2358
3Djurgardens IF281648+2952
4BK Hacken2813105+1749
5IF Elfsborg2812106+1146
6Vasteras SK FK281369+245
7Malmo FF2812511+641
8AIK Stockholm281189-341
9Gais2811710+840
10IFK Goteborg281099-1039
11IF Brommapojkarna289811-535
12Mjallby AIF2861012-1328
13Kalmar FF287516-1826
14Degerfors IF285518-2520
15Orgryte IS284816-2720
16Halmstad285518-3220

More Allsvenskan predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?

On our numbers IF Elfsborg have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sirius 47%.

How many goals will there be in IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?

Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 1–1 Sirius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is IF Elfsborg vs Sirius?

IF Elfsborg vs Sirius (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.