Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Allsvenskan brings Malmo FF against IF Elfsborg at Eleda Stadium. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Malmo FF are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; IF Elfsborg are 5th (upper half) with 46.
Current form
Malmo FF, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kalmar FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
IF Elfsborg, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sirius, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Malmo FF, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for IF Elfsborg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malmo FF 1.6 xG, IF Elfsborg 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malmo FF 50%, draw 26%, IF Elfsborg 24%.
Lower-risk option: Malmo FF or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malmo FF or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malmo FF 1–1 IF Elfsborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malmo FF50%fair 1.99 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.70
IF Elfsborg24%fair 4.24 · @3.80
2.81Expected goals
1.64Malmo FF xG
1.17IF Elfsborg xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 1.6 – 1.2 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Double chance
Malmo FF or draw✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Draw no bet
Malmo FF (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
IF Elfsborg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Malmo FF to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Malmo FF – last 6
DWWDWL
20 Jul
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs IFK Goteborg
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
26 Jun
vs FC Midtjylland
2–2
D
30 May
vs Halmstad
5–2
W
24 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
IF Elfsborg – last 6
LLLDDD
19 Jul
vs Sirius
1–3
L
12 Jul
@ Gais
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Hammarby FF
1–2
L
29 May
@ Orgryte IS
2–2
D
25 May
vs BK Hacken
1–1
D
21 May
vs Mjallby AIF
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malmo FF and IF Elfsborg.
What is the prediction for Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our pick is Malmo FF or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and IF Elfsborg 24%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 1–1 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
