Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✗42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 21 May: IF Elfsborg v Mjallby AIF in the Allsvenskan, played at Borås Arena. In the table, IF Elfsborg are 5th, upper half, on 46 points after 28 matches; Mjallby AIF are 12th (lower half) with 28. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
IF Elfsborg, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over IF Brommapojkarna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mjallby AIF, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to BK Hacken, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours IF Elfsborg, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Mjallby AIF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IF Elfsborg 1.4 xG, Mjallby AIF 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IF Elfsborg 42%, draw 26%, Mjallby AIF 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: IF Elfsborg to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: IF Elfsborg 1–1 Mjallby AIF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IF Elfsborg42%fair 2.40 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Mjallby AIF32%fair 3.11 · @2.50
2.47Expected goals
1.44IF Elfsborg xG
1.03Mjallby AIF xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: IF Elfsborg 1.4 – 1.0 Mjallby AIF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✗
42%
2.40
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
IF Elfsborg (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Mjallby AIF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
IF Elfsborg to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
IF Elfsborg – last 6
WLWWWW
8 May
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Osters IF
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mjallby AIF – last 6
LWWWDD
17 May
vs BK Hacken
0–1
L
14 May
vs Hammarby FF
2–1
W
3 May
@ Malmo FF
3–2
W
27 Apr
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Gais
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ BK Hacken
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IF Elfsborg and Mjallby AIF.
What is the prediction for IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
On our numbers IF Elfsborg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mjallby AIF 32%.
How many goals will there be in IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
Our predicted score is IF Elfsborg 1–1 Mjallby AIF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF?
IF Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
