Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGais to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Gais vs Malmo FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malmo FF travel to face Gais on Sunday 16 August in the Allsvenskan, with Gamla Ullevi the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Gais are 9th, lower half, on 40 points after 28 matches; Malmo FF are 7th (upper half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gais, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Halmstad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Malmo FF, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Degerfors IF, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gais 1.5 xG, Malmo FF 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gais 42%, draw 21%, Malmo FF 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Malmo FF to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gais 1–1 Malmo FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gais42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Malmo FF37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.53Gais xG
1.42Malmo FF xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gais 1.5 – 1.4 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gais to win✗
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Draw no bet
Gais (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Malmo FF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Gais to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gais / FT Gais✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Gais – last 6
WLDWLW
9 Aug
@ Halmstad
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ FC Nordsjaelland
0–6
L
26 Jul
vs Halmstad
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs FC Nordsjaelland
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ AIK Stockholm
0–2
L
12 Jul
vs IF Elfsborg
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 6
LWLDWW
9 Aug
vs Degerfors IF
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ IF Brommapojkarna
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs IF Elfsborg
1–2
L
20 Jul
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs IFK Goteborg
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gais and Malmo FF.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gais vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Gais have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malmo FF 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gais vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gais vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Gais 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gais vs Malmo FF?
Gais vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
