Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sirius to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSirius to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceSirius or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Sirius vs Malmo FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malmo FF travel to face Sirius on Monday 31 August in the Allsvenskan, with Studenternas IP the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Sirius are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 28 matches; Malmo FF are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sirius, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Friska Viljor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Malmo FF, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Lindo FF, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Malmo FF 2–3 Sirius.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sirius 2.3 xG, Malmo FF 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sirius 60%, draw 21%, Malmo FF 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sirius or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Sirius to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sirius or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sirius 2–1 Malmo FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sirius60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Malmo FF20%fair 5.06 · @3.65
3.51Expected goals
2.26Sirius xG
1.25Malmo FF xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sirius 2.3 – 1.3 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Sirius or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sirius vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Sirius have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malmo FF 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sirius vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sirius vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Sirius 2–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sirius vs Malmo FF?
Sirius vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Studenternas IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
