Malmo FF 64%Draw 21%AIK Stockholm 14%Expected goals 2.21 – 0.98
86%
Betarazi pick
Malmo FF or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMalmo FF to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 7 September the Allsvenskan brings Malmo FF against AIK Stockholm at Eleda Stadion. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Malmo FF are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; AIK Stockholm are 8th (upper half) with 41. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Malmo FF, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sirius, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
AIK Stockholm, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Hammarby FF, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended AIK Stockholm 0–1 Malmo FF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malmo FF 2.2 xG, AIK Stockholm 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malmo FF 64%, draw 21%, AIK Stockholm 14%.
Lower-risk option: Malmo FF or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Malmo FF to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malmo FF or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malmo FF 2–0 AIK Stockholm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malmo FF64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.90
AIK Stockholm14%fair 6.90 · @3.90
3.19Expected goals
2.21Malmo FF xG
0.98AIK Stockholm xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 2.2 – 1.0 AIK Stockholm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our pick is Malmo FF or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AIK Stockholm 14%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 2–0 AIK Stockholm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm?
Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
