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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Malmo FF v Orgryte IS: numbers & prediction

Allsvenskan · Sweden · Eleda Stadion
4–1
FT
Malmo FF 68%Draw 17%Orgryte IS 15% Expected goals 2.29 – 0.94
68%
Betarazi pick

Malmo FF to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultMalmo FF to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orgryte IS travel to face Malmo FF on Sunday 13 September in the Allsvenskan, with Eleda Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Malmo FF are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Orgryte IS are 15th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Malmo FF, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AIK Stockholm, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Orgryte IS, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hammarby FF, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Malmo FF, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Orgryte IS.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Orgryte IS 1–1 Malmo FF.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Malmo FF 2.3 xG, Orgryte IS 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Malmo FF 68%, draw 17%, Orgryte IS 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Malmo FF to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malmo FF 2–0 Orgryte IS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Malmo FF68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @4.80
Orgryte IS15%fair 6.87 · @6.50
3.23Expected goals
2.29Malmo FF xG
0.94Orgryte IS xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Malmo FF 2.3 – 0.9 Orgryte IS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMalmo FF to win ✓68%1.471.36
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✓85%1.171.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.65
Draw no betMalmo FF (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapMalmo FF -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
First team to scoreMalmo FF to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultMalmo FF ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF ✗45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Malmo FF – last 6

DWWLWL
7 Sepvs AIK Stockholm0–0D
31 Aug@ Sirius1–0W
27 Aug@ Lindo FF5–1W
24 Augvs Djurgardens IF0–3L
16 Aug@ Gais1–0W
9 Augvs Degerfors IF1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Orgryte IS – last 6

DLDDLL
6 Sepvs Hammarby FF1–1D
30 Aug@ IFK Goteborg0–1L
25 Aug@ Eskilsminne1–1D
22 Augvs Halmstad1–1D
16 Aug@ IF Brommapojkarna1–3L
8 Augvs AIK Stockholm3–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Orgryte IS v Malmo FF1–1
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS head-to-head page →

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby FF281846+3758
2Sirius281846+2358
3Djurgardens IF281648+2952
4BK Hacken2813105+1749
5IF Elfsborg2812106+1146
6Vasteras SK FK281369+245
7Malmo FF2812511+641
8AIK Stockholm281189-341
9Gais2811710+840
10IFK Goteborg281099-1039
11IF Brommapojkarna289811-535
12Mjallby AIF2861012-1328
13Kalmar FF287516-1826
14Degerfors IF285518-2520
15Orgryte IS284816-2720
16Halmstad285518-3220

More Allsvenskan predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS?

Our pick is Malmo FF to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS?

On our numbers Malmo FF have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Orgryte IS 15%.

How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS?

Our predicted score is Malmo FF 2–0 Orgryte IS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS?

Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.