Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMalmo FF to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceMalmo FF or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 12 October the Allsvenskan brings Malmo FF against Kalmar FF at Eleda Stadion. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Malmo FF are 7th, upper half, on 41 points after 28 matches; Kalmar FF are 13th (lower half) with 26. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Malmo FF, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Nordsjaelland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kalmar FF, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with IFK Norrkoping, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Malmo FF, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Kalmar FF.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended Kalmar FF 2–2 Malmo FF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malmo FF 2.0 xG, Kalmar FF 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malmo FF 62%, draw 20%, Kalmar FF 18%.
Lower-risk option: Malmo FF or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Malmo FF to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malmo FF or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malmo FF62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.75
Kalmar FF18%fair 5.51 · @4.20
2.89Expected goals
1.96Malmo FF xG
0.93Kalmar FF xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 2.0 – 0.9 Kalmar FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Malmo FF or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kalmar FF 18%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF?
Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
