Mjallby AIF 62%Draw 22%Degerfors IF 16%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.81
84%
Betarazi pick
Mjallby AIF or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Mjallby AIF to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMjallby AIF to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceMjallby AIF or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Mjallby AIF v Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan, played at Strandvallen. In the table, Mjallby AIF are 12th, lower half, on 28 points after 28 matches; Degerfors IF are 14th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Mjallby AIF, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Trollhättan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Degerfors IF, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IK brage, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mjallby AIF 1.9 xG, Degerfors IF 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mjallby AIF 62%, draw 22%, Degerfors IF 16%.
Lower-risk option: Mjallby AIF or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Mjallby AIF to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mjallby AIF or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mjallby AIF 1–0 Degerfors IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mjallby AIF62%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Degerfors IF16%fair 6.32 · @3.80
2.68Expected goals
1.87Mjallby AIF xG
0.81Degerfors IF xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mjallby AIF 1.9 – 0.8 Degerfors IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mjallby AIF to win✗
62%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Mjallby AIF or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Mjallby AIF (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Mjallby AIF -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Mjallby AIF to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Mjallby AIF ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mjallby AIF / FT Mjallby AIF✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Mjallby AIF – last 6
LLDDLL
6 Oct
@ Trollhättan
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Gais
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ AIK Stockholm
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ BK Hacken
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs IFK Goteborg
1–4
L
3 Sep
vs Djurgardens IF
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Degerfors IF – last 6
DLLWLL
3 Oct
@ IK brage
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Hammarby FF
0–1
L
14 Sep
@ Sirius
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Halmstad
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ IF Elfsborg
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ IF Brommapojkarna
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mjallby AIF and Degerfors IF.
What is the prediction for Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
Our pick is Mjallby AIF or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
On our numbers Mjallby AIF have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Degerfors IF 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
Our predicted score is Mjallby AIF 1–0 Degerfors IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Strandvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
