Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultTapatío to win ✓51% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Tapatío v Tlaxcala in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Akron. In the table, Tapatío are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Tlaxcala are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Tapatío, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mineros de Zacatecas, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Tlaxcala, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dorados, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tlaxcala, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Tapatío.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapatío 1.8 xG, Tlaxcala 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapatío 51%, draw 24%, Tlaxcala 25%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapatío 1–1 Tlaxcala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapatío51%fair 1.97 · @1.84
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.75
Tlaxcala25%fair 3.92 · @3.80
3.20Expected goals
1.82Tapatío xG
1.38Tlaxcala xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tapatío 1.8 – 1.4 Tlaxcala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tapatío
Tlaxcala
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+4%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.93
1.70
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapatío to win✓
51%
1.97
1.84
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.62
Draw no bet
Tapatío (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Tlaxcala +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
First team to score
Tapatío to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapatío / FT Tapatío✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Tapatío – last 5
LWLLD
30 Mar
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–4
L
7 Mar
vs Cancún
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Correcaminos Uat
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tlaxcala – last 6
WDDLWD
4 Apr
vs Dorados
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Atlante FC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapatío and Tlaxcala.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
On our numbers Tapatío have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tlaxcala 25%.
How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 Tlaxcala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
Tapatío vs Tlaxcala (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
