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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Venados FC v Correcaminos Uat: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
Venados FC 63%Draw 21%Correcaminos Uat 16% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.07
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultVenados FC to win ✗63% · @1.59
Double chanceVenados FC or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Venados FC v Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero. In the table, Venados FC are 6th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Correcaminos Uat are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Venados FC 2.3 xG, Correcaminos Uat 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Venados FC 63%, draw 21%, Correcaminos Uat 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Venados FC or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venados FC 2–1 Correcaminos Uat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Venados FC63%fair 1.59 · @1.59
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.10
Correcaminos Uat16%fair 6.28 · @5.00
3.40Expected goals
2.32Venados FC xG
1.07Correcaminos Uat xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Venados FC 2.3 – 1.1 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Venados FCCorrecaminos Uat
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average+20%-19%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+5%
Our expected goals here2.331.00

Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVenados FC to win ✗63%1.591.59
Double chanceVenados FC or draw ✗84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.55
Draw no betVenados FC (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapVenados FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.211.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.581.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.731.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
First team to scoreVenados FC to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultVenados FC ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Venados FC / FT Venados FC ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Venados FC – last 2

LL
28 Feb@ Mineros de Zacatecas0–2L
15 Feb@ Monarcas1–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Correcaminos Uat – last 2

DD
28 Febvs Tapatío2–2D
14 Febvs Atlante FC1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Venados FC and Correcaminos Uat.

Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat?

On our numbers Venados FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Correcaminos Uat 16%.

How many goals will there be in Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat?

Our predicted score is Venados FC 2–1 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat?

Venados FC vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.