Value bet: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTepatitlán to win ✓47% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 9 March: Tepatitlán v Mineros de Zacatecas in the Liga De Expansión MX. In the table, Tepatitlán are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 15 matches; Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Tepatitlán, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tlaxcala, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tepatitlán 1.5 xG, Mineros de Zacatecas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tepatitlán 47%, draw 23%, Mineros de Zacatecas 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tepatitlán 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tepatitlán47%fair 2.11 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.60
Mineros de Zacatecas29%fair 3.43 · @3.75
2.89Expected goals
1.50Tepatitlán xG
1.39Mineros de Zacatecas xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.5 – 1.4 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tepatitlán
Mineros de Zacatecas
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-30%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.77
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tepatitlán to win✓
47%
2.11
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Tepatitlán (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Mineros de Zacatecas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Tepatitlán to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tepatitlán / FT Tepatitlán✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Tepatitlán – last 3
LWD
1 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Irapuato
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Leones Negros UDG
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 2
WL
28 Feb
vs Venados FC
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cancún
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tepatitlán and Mineros de Zacatecas.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mineros de Zacatecas 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
