Value bet: Tlaxcala to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlante FC to win ✗41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 19 March the Liga De Expansión MX brings Tlaxcala against Atlante FC at Estadio Tlahuicole. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Tlaxcala, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CA La Paz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Atlante FC, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Monarcas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atlante FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Tlaxcala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tlaxcala 1.5 xG, Atlante FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tlaxcala 35%, draw 24%, Atlante FC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Tlaxcala to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tlaxcala 1–1 Atlante FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tlaxcala35%fair 2.86 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.55
Atlante FC41%fair 2.42 · @1.97
2.89Expected goals
1.51Tlaxcala xG
1.37Atlante FC xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 1.5 – 1.4 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tlaxcala
Atlante FC
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+16%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.84
1.25
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✗
41%
2.42
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Atlante FC (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Atlante FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Tlaxcala to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tlaxcala / FT Tlaxcala✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Tlaxcala – last 3
LWD
8 Mar
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 5
WDWWD
8 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Irapuato
5–0
W
22 Feb
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tlaxcala and Atlante FC.
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlante FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 1–1 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC?
Tlaxcala vs Atlante FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
